Showing posts with label Triple Crown Races. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Triple Crown Races. Show all posts
Sunday, June 12, 2011
How To Play a Broken Record/Belmont Stakes 2011
THAT ONE HURT.
Well they all hurt a little it's just a matter of degrees. Does it smart a little, like you cracked your funny bone on the coffee table looking for your keys pain, or is this a "carry the boiling cauldron with your wrists out into the snow pain, ala Kung Fu?" I'm going to put this up there with "unexpected gut punch that knocks the wind of you and have to take a knee pain". It's quite possible I have a black eye, I just haven't been able to crawl to the mirror and face myself yet.
We set a couple records today on our roller coaster parlay ride to absolute dismal failure, and not the kind you want to brag about.
Belmont Stakes 2011 will go down in history for Ray Chi as:
1.) The highest total amount wagered in a single day 2.) The largest single day losses.
And I gotta tell you that I wasn't really looking to break #2....
Oh well I'm having an overwhelming feeling of Deja Vu from last years Belmont Stakes Blow Out, but let's press on.
It's possible the scorching heat this week, followed by the sealed track, and then the torrential down pours that soaked Belmont today had something to do with it, or maybe it just wasn't my day, but the string of out of the clouds long shots killed every ticket I made today.
These are the kind of days that make you question just what the hell your doing. Even the Plan B's got left out on most of the races, no one is going to pick every winner every time, but to have all the reasonable contenders miss the Super repeatedly? WOW.
Should I have just put together a crazy hail mary Trifecta box leaving out the favorites and hoping the slop produced some sort of ridiculous improbable out come, like well what happened? (By the way as idiotic as that sounds the $2 ticket excluding ANY of the probable Superfecta finishers Shackleford, Animal Kingdom, Mucho Macho Man, and Master of Hounds would have cost only $672 and cashed for $8,268.00 a tidy return on your investment and a higher return than most money market managers could hope for) but you can't expect total chaos every time, or can you?
I can't deal with the post-race analysis right now I've got a hangover to start, but suffice it to say that:
A.) I'm not too happy
B.) Ruler On Ice? ARE YOU KIDDING ME!
Alright I better knock the dust off and pick myself up off the floor cause now there's a $1.3M Carryover on Wednesday to crush, since I'm a glutton for punishment.
Today's Hourly Rate: (brace yourselves but this is total including Parlay dollars)
-$263.66hr
That's all I got,
raychihasspoken
Saturday, May 21, 2011
Preakness Play by Play
Wow I'm not sure what time it is there, but here it's pretty damn early!
I decided to skip the Pick 5 after looking at past years pay outs and concentrate on the late Pick 4's, and inter race exotics.
Here's my action so far, I'll exclude the losing tickets for now (I'll post total action later)
Race#8
$2 Superfecta 5,7w/3,5,6,7w/3,5,6,7w/3,5,6,7 ($24) = +$1,304
.10 SFBX 3,5,6,7 ($2.40) = +$64.01
$10 Ex 5 W/6,7 ($20) = +$439
this is just the beginning.....
I decided to skip the Pick 5 after looking at past years pay outs and concentrate on the late Pick 4's, and inter race exotics.
Here's my action so far, I'll exclude the losing tickets for now (I'll post total action later)
Race#8
$2 Superfecta 5,7w/3,5,6,7w/3,5,6,7w/3,5,6,7 ($24) = +$1,304
.10 SFBX 3,5,6,7 ($2.40) = +$64.01
$10 Ex 5 W/6,7 ($20) = +$439
this is just the beginning.....
Monday, June 7, 2010
Belmont Stakes Blowout - 2010
Um Yeah,
You do everything you can to prepare for a big race day. You watch the key prep races, pour over the work out reports, try to decipher any clues from the plethora of pre-race articles, (of course check what Beyer and Crist think), and then most importantly: You grab a tasty beverage, sit down, and you get comfortable with the Daily Racing Form for about 8 hours and do your homework!
Sometimes though, even if you've done all of the things you are supposed to do, it all still goes horribly wrong.
I definitely can not remember a time in the over a decade I've been betting on the Triple Crown, that the favorite got smoked by some ridiculous long shot, this many times on one day. There were even a few of the races, (including the Belmont), that the favorite was out of the money all together!
So this is what I always do in the eyes of defeat, (I mean BESIDES drinking 15 glasses of Bourbon by myself with the shades drawn), I go home, open The Form, I look at my notes, and see how I could have possibly whiffed so badly. How did I miss that horse? Why when I was formulating all of my bets, wasn't that horse included? Was there something I overlooked, forgot, misread, or am I just a total Jackass? (Don't answer it's a rhetorical question.)
So that is what I did and you know what, I couldn't have picked ANY of those horses in races 9-13. None of them.
Seriously, there's a $930,495 carryover on Wednesday and I've got work to do. Who's up for a Parlay?
Today's Hourly Rate: - $50.50hr
That's all I got,
raychihasspoken
You do everything you can to prepare for a big race day. You watch the key prep races, pour over the work out reports, try to decipher any clues from the plethora of pre-race articles, (of course check what Beyer and Crist think), and then most importantly: You grab a tasty beverage, sit down, and you get comfortable with the Daily Racing Form for about 8 hours and do your homework!
Sometimes though, even if you've done all of the things you are supposed to do, it all still goes horribly wrong.
I definitely can not remember a time in the over a decade I've been betting on the Triple Crown, that the favorite got smoked by some ridiculous long shot, this many times on one day. There were even a few of the races, (including the Belmont), that the favorite was out of the money all together!
So this is what I always do in the eyes of defeat, (I mean BESIDES drinking 15 glasses of Bourbon by myself with the shades drawn), I go home, open The Form, I look at my notes, and see how I could have possibly whiffed so badly. How did I miss that horse? Why when I was formulating all of my bets, wasn't that horse included? Was there something I overlooked, forgot, misread, or am I just a total Jackass? (Don't answer it's a rhetorical question.)
So that is what I did and you know what, I couldn't have picked ANY of those horses in races 9-13. None of them.
- Champagne d'Oro - Too slow, and far superior competition in the race.
- Winchester - Seriously? Against Gio Ponti AND Court Vision? C'mon!
- Drosselmeyer - Um let's see, hasn't had a 1st place since January, is spotting 11 Beyer points to Ice Box, AND had continuous sore leg problems AND was working out in bar shoes?
- (Um, pass whatever your smokin buddy, cause it must be the good stuff.)
- J L Bernstein /Ezzy - (Ray Chi's spirit was broken, so he left and didn't watch, but a 10-1 and 17-1 culminated in a $6,884 Pick 3 and a $349,628 Pick 4. WOW.)
Seriously, there's a $930,495 carryover on Wednesday and I've got work to do. Who's up for a Parlay?
Today's Hourly Rate: - $50.50hr
That's all I got,
raychihasspoken
Sunday, May 23, 2010
Dear Sir, Please Turn Over Your Man Card
I saw a disturbing item on my friend Shag's refrigerator the other day, an invite to a "Couple's Arrival Party." What the???
HERE'S THE DEAL: Just because they're calling it an "Couples Arrival Party" doesn't mean shit, it's still a baby shower and you Sir, shouldn't be there.
Let's go a step further, there is not a single heterosexual man on planet earth that WANTS to go to a baby shower. NO, NO, I don't care what he told you to keep getting laid, (or he may have went and then he used it as a bargaining chip to go to some unnamed guy event later) NO, I'm going tell you something: He didn't want to go, he didn't have fun, AND all his friends made fun of him for going.
A-LOT.
Hey Man, I don't care how your woman/the expectant father spun it to you, "Oh man, there's lots of guys going!", " Dude, we'll totally do our own thing, separate from the girls!" , "Bro! C'mon! We'll have beers, smoke cigars, and play cards downstairs, I talked to (insert expectant mothers name here) and she said it's totally cool!" YEAH RIGHT!
You know that's not gonna happen! The girls are all gonna be in the front room cooing and giggling and rubbing the bump and shit. You'll be with the other eunuchs in the kitchen trying to power through the Michelob Ultra and wondering how long till you can sneak off and watch Shogun beat the piss out of Machida, and it then it happens....
The baby mafia huddle up and start tearing opening gifts, and it's allllll over for you suckas...."Oh Sugar Dumpling, come in here and see this, it's sooo cute!" ,"Hey Snuggles! You havvve to watch (insert expectant mothers name here) open the gift we got her!" ," Oh you guys can watch the gifts AND THEN you guys can play cards! GET IN HERE." Next thing you know your eating a steaming pile of candy crap in a diaper and hoping to god you can decide whether its Baby Ruth or Snickers. Seriously that happens.
FOR FUTURE REFERENCE NOT ALL ACTIVITIES ARE CO-ED. PLEASE LEAVE YOUR GIRL AT HOME FOR THE FOLLOWING:
Monday Night Poker Games, Triple Crown Race Days, and Greenwood Car Show Epic Day Drunks.
-Thanks.
PLEASE FEEL FREE to check the "Sorry can not attend" box on the invite of the next "Couples Arrival Party", "Bumpfest", or whatever the hell they are calling it, get on the phone to the other dudes not going and you could probably get a pretty good game going. Here's what to do, if it says "We are registered at Baby Gap", reach down, grab your balls, and just say NO.
Try it a few times, it just gets easier.
That's all I got,
raychihasspoken
HERE'S THE DEAL: Just because they're calling it an "Couples Arrival Party" doesn't mean shit, it's still a baby shower and you Sir, shouldn't be there.
Let's go a step further, there is not a single heterosexual man on planet earth that WANTS to go to a baby shower. NO, NO, I don't care what he told you to keep getting laid, (or he may have went and then he used it as a bargaining chip to go to some unnamed guy event later) NO, I'm going tell you something: He didn't want to go, he didn't have fun, AND all his friends made fun of him for going.
A-LOT.
Hey Man, I don't care how your woman/the expectant father spun it to you, "Oh man, there's lots of guys going!", " Dude, we'll totally do our own thing, separate from the girls!" , "Bro! C'mon! We'll have beers, smoke cigars, and play cards downstairs, I talked to (insert expectant mothers name here) and she said it's totally cool!" YEAH RIGHT!
You know that's not gonna happen! The girls are all gonna be in the front room cooing and giggling and rubbing the bump and shit. You'll be with the other eunuchs in the kitchen trying to power through the Michelob Ultra and wondering how long till you can sneak off and watch Shogun beat the piss out of Machida, and it then it happens....
The baby mafia huddle up and start tearing opening gifts, and it's allllll over for you suckas...."Oh Sugar Dumpling, come in here and see this, it's sooo cute!" ,"Hey Snuggles! You havvve to watch (insert expectant mothers name here) open the gift we got her!" ," Oh you guys can watch the gifts AND THEN you guys can play cards! GET IN HERE." Next thing you know your eating a steaming pile of candy crap in a diaper and hoping to god you can decide whether its Baby Ruth or Snickers. Seriously that happens.
FOR FUTURE REFERENCE NOT ALL ACTIVITIES ARE CO-ED. PLEASE LEAVE YOUR GIRL AT HOME FOR THE FOLLOWING:
Monday Night Poker Games, Triple Crown Race Days, and Greenwood Car Show Epic Day Drunks.
-Thanks.
PLEASE FEEL FREE to check the "Sorry can not attend" box on the invite of the next "Couples Arrival Party", "Bumpfest", or whatever the hell they are calling it, get on the phone to the other dudes not going and you could probably get a pretty good game going. Here's what to do, if it says "We are registered at Baby Gap", reach down, grab your balls, and just say NO.
Try it a few times, it just gets easier.
That's all I got,
raychihasspoken
